#8PointstoPlay – Saturday Tipping Challenge – 18th January

Leaderboard 18th January

Barry Doyle (champ.ie), Colm Finlay (BetXS), Ronan Groome (The Irish Field), Andrew Blair White (Blair White’s Blog), Thomas Coyle (Trainer) & Alan Doyle (Aldorithm) all go war once again with their #8PointstoPlay this weekend.

Racing tips come from Ascot, Haydock, Navan & Taunton. Colm Finlay still leads the way for the National Hunt Season on +74.5 Pts.

Best of luck to all this weekend and don’t forget to let us know your Saturday NAP’s on Facebook & Twitter!

Colm Finlay - ProfileColm Finlay #8PointstoPlay score : 74.5pts

1:40 Taunton – Silver Quay (8/1) 4pt ew

The jockey and trainer were called in to explain the horses running LTO at Wincanton. Explanations were given but I checked the race again and he was given a very tender bit of treatment down the back and stayed on towards the finish. The vet did report him lame so that can’t have helped him either that day. Make of that what you want but there is slight nibbles at this horse for tomorrow at the current 14/1. The Gelding peaked around 106 a year or so back at a time when he got back to back wins at this track off the same mark he is at now. The trip is slightly on the tight side at 2m versus the 2m3f he was winning at previous but the fact that the going is heavy will mean this will be a tough stay 2m so might end playing something closes to the 2m3f he normally likes. Hopefully, the price holds up around 14/1 come go time tomorrow. Brony won me 13pts last week. Lets make it two in a row!

Barry Doyle - ProfileBarry Doyle #8PointstoPlay score : -2.15

1.55 Navan – Dolciano Dici (8/1) 1pt ew

Rated a pound higher over fences than over hurdles and ran an encouraging race when fourth over C&D behind Alfa Mix in December. Further ease should suit today and with in form Danny Mullins taking the ride, Dolciano Dici can go close for uncle Willie.

2.40 Haydock – Acting Lass (6/1) 1pt ew

Looked the winner at Ascot LTO before being run down by the gallant Regal Encore. Harry Fry’s horse jumps well, stays and will handle the dig in the ground at Haydock. 3Ib raise doesn’t look unreasonable and can go in off 150.

2.05 Haydock – Edwardstone (13/8) 3 pt win

Holds the key to much of the English novice form this season and if he wins this he’ll be a prime candidate for the Supreme Novice hurdle I’m sure. Concedes weight to Thebannerkingrebel but the son of Kayf Tara is a physical giant with buckets of pace also. Will take some stopping.

2.25 Ascot – Pic Dorhy (9/2) 1pt win

Came from France before been chucked into the Triumph Hurdle having his first start for Paul Nichols. Highly regarded and 146 looks an attractive mark albeit he’s having his first start since falling in Auteuil in November. Chaser for the future.

Alan DoyleAlan Doyle #8PointstoPlay score : -9pts

3:00 Ascot – Domaine De L’Isle (6/1) 8pts win 

Having come over from France last year, he has progressed very nicely this season over fences. Has won on soft twice but has to prove it over heavy today. There seemed to be plenty left in the tank when winning comfortably on his last start so 10lbs rise may not be enough to stop this lad’s winning streak. 4lbs better off with the fav should see him go very close today if he handles the surface.

Thomas Coyle - ProfileThomas Coyle #8PointstoPlay score : -11.37pts

1:55 Navan – Alfa Mix (10/3) 2 pt win

Done it well over course and distance last time and this 5yo could improve again I think he could still have some lbs up his sleeve and could be one to follow.

2:30 Navan – Punitive (9/4) 2 pt win

Was only 8/1 for a competitive handicap at Leopardstown at Christmas this is not as competitive claiming 7lbs off him will help as well this limerick winner in November is going to be hard beat in this.

3:40 Navan – Wake Up Early (3/1) 2 pt win

If he gets his jumping together he wins this is prone to a mistake or two but he’s a horse that stays well Mark Walsh takes the reins which is a big plus

2:40 Navan – Champers on Ice  (15/2)  1 pt ew

If he can convert his form from hurdles to fences he has a big shout off 10st 9lbs has lumped top weight in some good staying handicap hurdles this year.

Andrew Blair WHite ProfileAndrew Blair White #8PointstoPlay score : -11.57pts

1.30 Haydock – Windsor Avenue (5/2)  4 Pts Win

This isn’t the first time I’ve talked about how highly I regard this Brian Ellison gelding. After two exceptional wins on his transition over fences at the start of the season, he bombed out last time against Sam Spinner (Scoped Dirty). He also looked like he didn’t stay the extended 3m trip that day so the drop to this trip should be optimum. It’s a competitive 4 runner race but this horse on his BEST form, should win and should win very well.

2.40 Haydock – Geronimo (13/2)  2 Pts Win

Sandy Thompson and Ryan Mania have been in red hot form recently, banging in 5 winners each in the last 14 days. This horse won very well on his seasonal bow at Newcastle at a trip short of his best. He has good winning form over further from last year so this trip should be of no issue to him and given the form of the team, has to have a big chance.

3.00 Ascot – Kayf Adventure (14/1) 1 Pt Win

My two smaller stakes are risky propositions but if this Phillip Hobbs trained horse was to return to some of his best form, he would have a great chance in this. The thing I like most is his adaptability on heavy ground, where some of the market principles have question marks regarding the ground. Hopefully he can get into a rhythm and cause an upset.

2.50 Taunton – Daklondike (16/1) 1 Pt Win

One of the bigger characters on the English scene, Daklondike advertised his moody ways with a see-saw run at Haydock last time. After almost pulling himself up down the back, he flew home to grab 5th over 3m. This step up to 3m4f will be in his favor and he enjoys the forecast heavy ground. One tends to know ones faith with Daklondike early on, but if he jumps away on a going day, 20s is a farcical price.

Ronan GroomeRonan Groome #8PointstoPlay score : -22.37pts

3:00 Ascot – Espoir De Guye (5/2)  3pts win

This Venetia Williams-trained horse is up 14lbs for his win around Ascot just before Christmas but he bolted up that day and he’s open to further progression now on just his fourth ever chase start. With his course form and progressive profile, I made him a 5/2 shot but he’s available to back at 100/30 so it’s worth having a go. The northern horses Domain Des L’Isle and Sam’s Adventure are respected but I’m not sure their Newcastle form will hold up, given a few of the principals fell in that race, and it’s a different ball game coming down to Berkshire now.

1:55 Navan – Alfa Mix (10/3)  3pts win

Gavin Cromwell’s five-year-old has solid claims here off the back of his course-and-distance win last time out. That looked a strong race with the progressive Top Moon in second and the possibly well-treated Drumacoo in third, the front three clear. Alfa Mix won smoothly there and although he’s up 9lbs, he will only be having his sixth start over hurdles. He should be favourite but all the early money has been for Leopardstown maiden winner The Bosses Oscar. He is respected but I’d fully expect the market to correct by the off.

2:30 Haydock – Red Indian (8/1) 1pt win 

In a Peter Marsh where none of the principals leap off the page, it might be worth chancing Kelly Morgan’s Red Indian. This is his seasonal debut but that could be the key to him – he’s best fresh – and he’s also unexposed with some notable form, not least his fourth in a brilliant renewal of the Grade 1 Kauto Star Novice Chase last season.

3:40 Navan – Duhallow Paddy (5/1) 1pt win
This race is real low-level stuff but I was a bit surprised not to see Duhallow Paddy favourite. He’s in good form over both hurdles and fences, winning over the latter at Galway on his penultimate start when he had today’s favourite Wake Up Early in behind